With corrugated paper, for example, the price of paper reached the highest point in mid October, then it went down all the way until the middle of December. But the rebound soon ended, and before New Year's day, the price of paper went down again. The average market price of 80-160g products fell from the highest of nearly 5800 yuan in October to about 3800 yuan.

There is still a month away from the Spring Festival. According to the current market and the seasonal characteristics of demand, the price of wrapping paper should not increase or fall again, and will fluctuate in a relatively low price range. Last week, I visited the carton enterprises in the Pearl River Delta region. From the view of the enterprise, the current low price is the default state of the upper and lower reaches. The reason is that the purchase bidding of the terminal customers is coming soon.

In Dongguan, a joint venture of China EU carton factory, this company's business manager told us that the bidding of several large customers they will soon begin, compared with the past few years of large-scale use of paper packaging, in 2017 they are from plastic packaging, wood packaging and other new types of recyclable packaging impact.

The manager told us that the advantage of the original paper packaging is single use, low price, two diversification, personalized design, printing and so on, three is convenient logistics and low cost. However, due to the rising price of packaging paper in the past two years, the advantage of cost is getting smaller and smaller. What's more dangerous is that the phenomenon of irregular paper will affect the sales of customers' products. To this end, some companies have begun to replace packaging from the perspective of supply chain security and cost reduction. On wood packaging, carton business is not very worried, because as long as the price is low, companies can keep in exchange for paper packaging, but can be recycled plastic packaging is a threat, because of the huge investment, once the customer for plastic packaging, the short term will not be back with paper packing.

Therefore, in the arrival of the tender season, the paper packaging enterprises must control the present price at the low point in order to win the bid with the advantageous price. If the price of wrapping paper rises again at this time, the impact may be a year's demand.

《Chinese paper making web site》